Before reading this theory it may be helpful to read the first page (not the whole thing, its a rather long theory, a very good one though) of this link: Bubbles and Memory. Once you are familiar with Superwizard's running bit idea, this theory will be easier to understand and believe.
This theory is an extension of mud, dirt, and dung. What I've found is, mud, dirt, and dung are all death clues along with the new initiator clues that I have recently discovered. These findings include dragons, toads/frogs, rats, filth, mud, and dung. You may be thinking "what?" right about now, but read on and it will hopefully make sense in the end. Also, it's a little long but death is a big part of the series, so JKR obviously wanted to make it difficult.
| The Initiator (for lack of a better term) |
|---|
You may be wondering where I got all of this from, but it really all came from just one person....
Argus Filch --
"You'd better get out of here, Harry," said Nick quickly. "Filch isn't in a good mood -- he's got the flu and some third years accidentally plastered frog brains all over the ceiling in dungeon five. He's been cleaning all morning, and if he sees you dripping mud all over the place --"
"Right," said Harry.
"Argus Filch burst suddenly through a tapestry to Harry's right, wheezing and scarf bound around his head, and his nose was unusually purple.
"Filth!" he shouted, his jowls aquiver, his eyes popping alarmingly as he pointed at the muddy puddle that had dripped from Harry's Quidditch robes."
Then they enter Filch's office and this part is extremely important, so pay close attention.
"Dung," he muttered furiously, "great sizzling dragon bogies... frog brains... rat intestines... I've had enough of it... make an example... where's the form... yes"
"Name... Harry Potter. Crime...."
"It was only a bit of mud!" said Harry.
Note that this quote is found in the chapter called The Deathday Party.
So, the death omens are --
- Frogs
- Mud
- Filth
- Dung
- Dragons
- Rats
Now, you may be thinking "Filch was just muttering those words because he's crazy! This doesn't prove anything!" Well, next I will try and prove these death portents' legitimacy by showing the people that are dead, and telling you how they were connected to the death portents. Also, I will show you other various connections, some of which do not pertain to the HP world.
"between Filch and death, he'd take Filch."Not a wise choice, Harry.
| Establishing the Frog/Toad connection |
|---|
In mythology, if you hurt a frog/toad, you are said to be "struck by lightning."
Dumbledore died in the chapter called The Lightning Struck Tower.
Basilisks are chicken eggs hatched under a toad.
Also, in Egyptian history (which JKR uses a lot - see the thread Egypt, Mummies, Pyramids and Horcruxes), frogs were supposedly made from mud and water.
The connection is furthered here -
"Neville's toad was found lurking in a corner of the toilets"
SS 307.
Toilets link to the dung part of the death portents, and the presence of Trevor furthers their connection to death.
And again, here -
"Even better, Professor Flitwick announced in Charms that he thought they were ready to start making objects fly, something they had all been dyingto try since they'd seen him make Neville's toadzoom around the classroom."
So, anyone who repeatedly has a connection to frogs is dead (Dumbledore is on the first ever chocolate frog card we see).
And, for all you Neville lovers, the fact that he is always losing his toad is a good sign, because that means death is running away from him.
- "Gran, I've lost my toad again."
- "I've lost him!"
- "the toadless boy"
| Establishing the Dragon connection |
|---|
The Hogwarts motto is Draco dormiens nunquam titillandus -- never tickle a sleeping dragon. Odd motto, isn't it?
Malfoy's uncle died of dragonpox.
"Their heads were dragonish, and their pupil-less eyes white and staring."This quote is referring to Thestrals. Thestrals are dragonish, and you can only see them if you've witnessed death.
"I pull down about a hundred sacks of Galleons a year!" one of them shouted. "I'm a dragon killer for the Committee for the Disposal of Dangerous Creatures."
When Hagrid and Madame Maxime go to the mountains looking for giants, they give the new Gurg dragon skin right after the other Gurg died.
"A great black dragon was rearing in front of him.... His father and mother were waving at him out of an enchanted mirror.... Cedric Diggory was lying on the ground with blank eyes staring at him"
Slughorn uses dragon's blood to fake his death (or capture)
Hagrid and Slughorn discuss illegal trade of dragon eggs right after Aragog's funeral.
I would like to make sections like this for dung, mud, rats, and filth, but those portents didn't have as much information, so I will stop here. If you are still undecided on whether or not this connection is valid (which you should be), read on and it will make much more sense.
| People who are already dead and their previous connections |
|---|
Dumbledore --
Remember, names are super important in HP!!!
First off (as Superwizard624 pointed out) take the first three letters of the name Dumbledore and reverse them. Dum=Mud.
Secondly,
Now that the frog connection has been made, let's see how it affects DD.
"Harry turned over his card and read: Albus Dumbledore."So, the very first Chocolate Frog card Harry gets is none other than DD. Also note that there are two other people mentioned on the card (Grindelwald and Flamel), and they are both dead too.
More -
"Dumbledore's name's mud with the Ministry these days, see," said Fred.
Ootp 71.
"Once, he [Harry] thought he saw a burst of fire at the end of a passage and twisted around to see if it was a dragon, but too late -- they plunged even deeper, passing an underground lake where huge stalactites and stalagmites grew from the ceiling and floor."-- DD drinks the horcrux potion in an underground lake and goes on to die.
On his chocolate frog card, Dumbledore was famous - "for the discovery of the twelve uses of dragon's blood"
"looking around he saw Madam Rosmerta scurrying down the dark street toward them on high-heeled, fluffy slippers, wearing a silk dressing gown embroidered with dragons."This is just minutes before DD dies.
Quirrell--
Quirrell has a connection with trolls who smell like, "a mixture of old socks and the kind of public toilet no one seems to clean."
When Quirrell let the mountain troll into HW, the troll goes straight to the girl's bathroom, which obviously connects to the dung death omen. When Quirrell enters the bathroom along with the other teachers, after the troll is knocked out, he gasps and then goes and sits on a toilet seat, and we all know what's inside toilets - dung.
Right before Quirrell dies, while they are under the trapdoor, Harry starts worrying, "If they met a dragon, a fully-grown dragon -- Norbert had been bad enough."
Sirius -
"The meeting's over, Dung," said Sirius as they all sat down around him at the table.Although Sirius is not referring to the object dung, but rather the person Mundungus in this quote, it still works.
"Look at the state of him, the filthy layabout!"
A mass of filthy, matted hair hung to his elbows.
Sirius signs Harry's letter with a "muddy paw print."
over the top of The Quibbler. He swallowed his mouthful of [Chocolate] Frog.Just so happens Sirius was in that article (Stubby Boardman)
Also, Filch accuses Harry of placing an order of Dungbombs, when he really was just sending a letter to Sirius.
Moaning Myrtle
She lives and died in a bathroom -- dung.
Lily
Petunia says of Lily when she got home from Hogwarts - "her pockets full of frog spawn, turning teacups into rats."
Igor Karkaroff
Good catch by Superwizard -- Headmaster of Durmstrang
Mad-Eye calls him "filth" at the trial where he starts naming other Death Eaters.
Cedric Diggory
Ernie Macmillan and Hannah Abbot were swapping Chocolate Frog cards at a nearby table; both of them sporting Support Cedric Diggory! Badges on their cloaks.
Cedric is first to face the dragons in the Triwizard Tournament.
During Harry's dream --
"Cho shouted, "Cedric gave me loads of Chocolate Frog cards, look!"
Madam Bones
"And I don't know how you stand it, it's horrible," Susan said bluntly, dumping far too much dragon manure on her tray of Screechsnap seedlings, causing them to wriggle and squeak in discomfort."Susan's aunt, Madam Bones, dies in HBP.
| Future Deaths |
|---|
Ronald Bilius Weasley --
"Ron, you've got something on your nose."Very first time we meet him he is marked by JKR.
"And you've got dirt on your nose, by the way, did you know?"
Ron owns a rat until the end of PoA.
"Ron picked up a green bean, looked at it carefully, and bit into a corner.
"Bleaaargh -- see? Sprouts."
dragon dung, Professor Sprout's preferred brand of fertilizer
Ron gets bit by Norbert -- "It bit me!"
Ron's magic wand was lying on top of a fish tank full of frog spawn on the windowsill, next to his fat gray rat, Scabbers.
"and the fish tank on the windowsill, which had previously held frog spawn, now contained one extremely large frog." So Ron has a frog, right in his room!
A pair of enormous purple toads sat gulping wetly and feasting on dead blowflies.
Ron is connected to purple so many times, it's ridiculous, so this is obviously a clue for him.
Also,
Ron's brother Bill wears dragon hide boots. His other brother Charlie works with dragons.
Ron, who was eating a Peppermint Toad and massaging his stomach.
They [Harry and Ron] left Zonko's with their money bags considerably lighter than they had been on entering, but their pockets bulging with Dungbombs, Hiccup Sweets, Frog Spawn Soap, and a Nose-Biting Teacup apiece.
Both Harry's and Ron's [Easter eggs] were the size of dragoneggs and full of homemade toffee. Hermione's, however, was smaller than a chicken egg.
Close up, the potion [Polyjuice Potion] looked like thick, dark mud, bubbling sluggishly.Note that in those last three instances Hermione is left out. She gets a different egg, the Polyjuice potion doesn't work on her, at least not as intended, and she is not with Harry and Ron when they buy the stuff from Zonko's.
"Harry must go into the lake and find his Wheezy--" - Dobby
Now, let's look back at the Filch quote from page one --
"Argus Filch burst suddenly through a tapestry to Harry's right, wheezing and scarf bound around his head, and his nose was unusually purple.
As I said before, Ron is connected with purple a lot, so this has to be aimed at him, along with the wheeziness.
While cleaning they find a ghoul in an upstairs toilet at Grimmauld Place, and there is also a ghoul in the Burrow.
Harry swept the last of the droppings into a rubbish bag and threw the bag over Ron's head into the wastepaper basket in the corner, which it swallowed and belched loudly.
"Why was Dung hiding from us?"
"Ravens are harder than frogs," said RonHermione takes the raven, and Ron gets the frog. Ouch.
"Fine, let's swap," said Hermione
"Weasley was born in a bin,"
Ron says about Filch --
"He's got dung for brains, that one."
"Harry, you're worse than Ron. Well, no, you're not," she sighed, as Ron himself came stumping into the Hall splattered with mud and looking grumpy.
"I played like a sack of dragon dung," said Ron.
"Oi, out of the way!" Ron barked at a small girl who jumped in fright and dropped a bottle of toadspawn.
Ginny yells at Ron when he hooks up with Lavender - "You filthy hypocrite!"
Hagrid
When Neville keeps losing his toad in SS, Hagrid is the poor soul who ends up finding it.
"Crikey, I'd like a dragon."Harry tells Hagrid, "Have a Chocolate Frog, I've got loads"
- Gets Norbert.
Harry's predicament with LV is going to cause loads of deaths, including Hagrid's.
"he [Harry] knew it was only their terror that he might turn them all into dung beetles"Hagrid's eyes are constantly described as beetles.
In Ootp, Sirius's mom yells --
"Filth! Scum! By-products of dirt and vileness! Half-breeds, mutants, freaks, begone from this place! How dare you befoul the house of my fathers -- "
Hagrid is a half-breed. Half giant, half wizard.
He uses dragon meat for his injuries during Ootp.
"It's s'posed ter look like that, it's dragon meat," said Hagrid.
Fred and/or George Weasley
"Blown up a toilet? We've never blown up a toilet."
"Great idea though, thanks Mom."
"We'll send you a Hogwarts toilet seat."
"I believe your friends Fred and George Weasley were responsible for trying to send you a toilet seat."JKR points out the toilets four times, so it obviously is important.
"They say there's dragons guardin' the high-security vaults"
- F and G's brother Bill wears dragon hide boots and works for Gringotts.
These two things make me believe there will be a death inside Gringotts, and why not Fred and or George? This evidence also works well with Superwizard624's Fred and George: A Prediction In Rhyme. In many stories dragons guard treasure, so F and G may go into Gringotts looking for treasure, but only one of them may come out alive.
"Break a rule in front of her [Mrs. Norris], put just a toe out of line, and she'd whisk off for Filch, who'd appear, wheezing, two seconds later."I already made this connection with Ron, but it works for F and G too -- Weasley's Wizard Wheezes.
"They frog marched Percy from the room"
" -- well, more innocent than we are now -- we got into a spot of bother with Filch."
"We let off a Dung bomb in the corridor and it upset him for some reason --"
"Fred and George had set off half a dozen Dung bombs in a fit of end-of-terms spirits."
"How did you do that?" Angelina Johnson squealed as George started throwing Peppermint Toads into the crowd."Note that this quote singles out George. And while we're on the topic of singleing out George, I'll throw this in --
Saint George, in some legend, was said to have saved a princess from a dragon. This connects him to death.
"Yeah, someone might slip dragon dung in it again, eh, Perce?"
"That was a sample of fertilizer from Norway!" said Percy. "It was nothing personal!"
"It was," "We sent it."
"The Aging Potion, dung brains."
"Look what Dung's gotten us," said George
"Ten Galleons the lot, then, Dung?" said Fred
"Dung likes his little joke," said Fred
"Told her Percy's nothing more than a humongous pile of rat droppings."
"Fred and George had put an Enlargement Charm on the front cover of The Quibbler and hung it on the wall, so that Harry's giant head gazed down upon the proceedings, occasionally saying things like "The Ministry are morons" and "Eat dung, Umbridge" in a booming voice."
When F and G set off fireworks to make Umbridge mad, the first one Harry sees is --
"Dragons comprised entirely of green and gold sparks"
"Within a week, even those who had been eyewitnesses were half-convinced that they had seen the twins dive-bomb Umbridge on their brooms, pelting her with Dungbombs before zooming out the doors."
"What are they supposed to be?" Ron asked, pointing at the jackets.
"Finest dragon skin, little bro," said Fred.
U-NO-POO
Note that it's U rather than You, which could connect to the dead Moaning Myrtle living in her U-bend. Also note the poo.
"Fred and George, who were wearing jackets of black dragon skin."
Draco
The name Draco comes from Draconis, which means dragon.
Draco has probably set the world record for amount of times he has said Mudblood.
"Malfoy's head jerked forward as the mud hit him"
"Then he dreamed that Malfoy and the rest of the Slytherin team arrived for the match riding dragons."
"Eat dung, Malfoy!"
"You know your mother Malfoy?" said Harry
"that expression she's got, like she's got dung under her nose? Has she always looked like that, or was it just because you were with her?"
EDIT: After reviewing the evidence, it seems that the clues mark Draco as a potential killer rather than a victim. See JasonD's post.
Harry (possibly)
"Dragon liver, seventeen Sickles an ounce, they're mad"- Harry turns seventeen in book 7
He receives a large amount of Chocolate Frogs from Hermione for Christmas.
In CoS Oliver Wood tells Harry "Get to that Snitch before Malfoy or die trying, Harry" and when Harry does get the Snitch he falls, "with a splattering thud he hit the mud and rolled off his broom."
Peeves nickname for Harry is "potty."
"Close up, the potion looked like thick, dark mud, bubbling sluggishly."Note that the potion doesn't work on Hermione (at least not as intended) but it does work on Ron and Harry.
During CoS Harry receives a valentine from Ginny from a "grim looking dwarf," and the valentine goes like this --
His eyes are as green as a fresh pickled toad,Professor Binns, the dead ghost, comes through the blackboard to start class.
His hair is as dark as a blackboard.
I wish he was mine, he's really divine,
The hero who conquered the Dark Lord.
"The Gryffindor Quidditch team, spattered with mud from head to foot, was gathered around his bed."
"Harry tried to look innocent, all too aware of his sweaty face and his muddy hands, which he quickly hid in his pockets."Harry has death on his hands -- he killed Quirrel.
"If the worst came to worst, they were going to drop a bag of Dungbombs, but they hoped they wouldn't have to resort to that -- Filch would skin them alive."
"All Romilda Vane does is ask me if it's true you've got a hippogriff tattooed across your chest."
"What did you tell her?"
"I told her it's a Hungarian Horntail."
Although there is a lot of evidence pointing to Harry's death, there are still quotes like these --
"I'm almost certain of it," said Hermione grimly. "Watch your frog, it's escaping."
"Harry pointed his wand at the bullfrog that had been hopping hopefully toward the other side of the table -- "Accio!" -- and it zoomed gloomily back into his hand."
"They stuff people's head down the toilet the first day at Stonewall," he told Harry. "Want to come upstairs and practice?"So, instead of predicting that he's going to die, I like Arianhrod's interpretation of it from his/her Alchemy essay on the-leaky-cauldron.org:
"No thanks," said Harry. "The poor toilet's never had anything as horrible as your head down it -- it might be sick.""I believe Harry will have to sacrifice himself. I believe Harry will see Sirius on the other side of the veil and he will help Harry decide whether to go on or go back.he may die symbolically and be reborn into an enlightened state of awareness."Or something like that.
Miscellaneous
"Dumbeldore gave a great sniff as he took a golden watch from his pocket and examined it. It was a very odd watch. It had twelve hands but no numbers; instead little planets were moving around the edge.""Seriously good haul this year!" he [Ron] announced, holding up a heavy golden watch with odd symbols around the edge and tiny moving stars instead of hands."Here Ron is connected with DD, and DD is dead.
"I was unfortunate in my youth to come across a vomit flavored one, and since then I'm afraid I've rather lost my liking for them -- but I think I'll be safe with a nice toffee, don't you?"- Frank Bryce picks earwax out of his ear before he dies. So if anyone has bad earwax in book 7, watch out.
He smiled and popped the golden-brown bean into his mouth. Then he choked and said, "Alas! Ear wax!"
Harry loses the Bones in his arm in CoS from Lockhart. Madam Bones' house was locked when they found her dead.
In PoA, thirteen people are dining during the Christmas dinner, and Ron and Harry stand up at the same time.
At the burrow - "and a big green pond full of frogs."
- Veela supposedly lived in ponds in some myth. I believe in book 7, at the wedding at the Burrow, Fleur might die.
"At last, only the Weasley twins were left singing along at a very slow funeral march."
Bilius -- Ron's uncle Bilius saw the grim and died
"Frank was nearing his seventy seventh birthday now, very deaf, his bad leg stiffer than ever, but could still be seen pottering around the flower beds in fine weather, even though the weeds were starting to creep up on him, try as he might to suppress them."
Although I already made the wheezy connection, I just thought I'd add this one.
"Professor Binns, their ghost teacher, had a wheezy, droning voice that was almost guaranteed to cause severe drowsiness within ten minutes, five in warm weather."
"Cherry and unicorn hair," Neville said proudly. "We think it was one of the last Ollivander ever sold, he vanished the next day -- oi, come back here Trevor!"This quote shows that Ollivander is not dead, because Trevor is running away. If he is not dead, than it may be likely that he is working with LV, or at least being forced to.
After completing this theory, and reading JasonD's theory The Deathday Party, I now believe that the whole chapter The Deathday Party was meant to foreshadow who's going to die.
Do you have an addition, objection, or comment? You can discuss this theory on HPANA.
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